Thursday, October 31, 2013

Gold weakens as Fed stays the course

LOS ANGELES (MarketWatch) — Gold futures trickled lower Thursday in electronic trading, failing to extend gains in the wake of the Federal Reserve's decision to stay the course on its monetary stimulus program.

AFP/Getty Images

Gold for December delivery (GCZ3)  lost another $12.50, or 0.9%, to $1,336.80 an ounce. December silver (SIZ3) , meanwhile, was hit even harder, giving up 59 cents, or 2.7%, to $22.39 an ounce.

A day earlier, gold prices rose after data showing a slowdown in U.S. private-sector job growth in October reinforced expectations that the Fed's taper playing won't be taking place anytime soon.

The Federal Reserve decided Wednesday to hold monetary policy steady, saying that conditions remained too weak to pull back from its bond-buying program.

"The question remains how much of this extended [quantitative easing] is gold pricing already?" said Standard Bank's Walter de Wet. "Given that the consensus view is for tapering to start later in 2014, we believe that gold is already reflecting this more accommodative policy stance to a large degree."

The next big event for gold traders to keep an eye on will be next month's Senate confirmation hearing for Janet Yellen as Fed chief. Jeffrey Wright, managing director at H.C. Wainwright, said this should be supportive for gold, considering her dovish stance on monetary policy.

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Elsewhere in metals trading, high-grade copper (HGZ3)  shed 2 cents, or 0.6%, to $3.31 a pound, while January platinum (PLF4)  lost $19.90, or 1.4%, to $1,460 an ounce and December palladium (PAZ3)  fell $6.10, or 0.8%, to $743.40 an ounce.

Sunday, October 27, 2013

Ford's Fusion and F-150 Will Drive More Profit Gains

Ford's hot-selling Fusion should see even more sales gains this fall. Photo credit: Ford Motor.

This past week, Ford (NYSE: F  ) reported a second-quarter profit of $1.2 billion, a strong result powered by big sales in North America and improvements in all of its overseas regions. Further gains in Asia and Europe should give Ford even bigger profits in coming quarters, but Ford is also setting the stage for even more profits here in its home market.

Two of Ford's hottest products right now are the Fusion sedan (pictured) and the F-150 pickup. In this video, Fool contributor John Rosevear explains how the Fusion and the F-150 could boost Ford's profits even further as the second half of 2013 unfolds.

Ford's latest cars and trucks aren't doing well just in the United States. Its Focus has become one of China's best-sellers, and more Fords are climbing China's sales charts. A recent Motley Fool report, "2 Automakers to Buy for a Surging Chinese Market," says that Ford is one of two global auto giants exceptionally well positioned to benefit from China's ongoing auto boom. You can read this report right now for free -- just click here for instant access.

Saturday, October 26, 2013

Outrage Over "Rolling Stone" Boston Bomber Cover

"Wanna see my picture on the cover
Wanna buy five copies for my mother 
Wanna see my smilin' face
On the cover of the Rolling Stone"
-- Dr. Hook & The Medicine Show

Looking like a modern-day Jim Morrison, the late singer of the band The Doors, Boston Marathon bombing suspect Dzhokhar Tsarnaev graces the cover of this month's Rolling Stone magazine, setting off a firestorm of protest and outrage that has retailers refusing to carry the magazine on their newsstands. 

Source: Rolling Stone.

It's not so much the content of the article that has critics steaming -- it's fairly balanced and seeks to understand the motivation behind what would lead someone to such a ghastly act -- but rather the gauzy treatment of an alleged murderer that gives him just the sort of notoriety he seeks. That it also could inspire other acts of terrorism in the hopes of landing on the cover of a magazine also rankles.

In response to the outrage at highlighting a terrorist instead of his victims, including 26-year-old MIT cop Sean Collier, who was killed in the shootout between the Tsarnaev brothers and the police, and 8-year-old Martin Richard, who was standing next to one of the bombs when it detonated, retailers including CVS Caremark (NYSE: CVS  ) , which operates 7,300 stores nationwide, Walgreen (NYSE: WAG  ) , with more than 8,500 stores, and Sears Holdings (NASDAQ: SHLD  ) chain Kmart have all decided not to sell the new issue of the magazine.

Grocery store chain Stop & Shop, convenience store chains Tedeschi Food Shops and Cumberland Farms, and Roche Bros. Supermarkets have also said they would not put the magazine out. 

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Yet it's not the first time Rolling Stone has put a mass murderer on its cover. In 1970, Charles Manson was featured with the tagline "The incredible story of the most dangerous man alive," which is somewhat more phlegmatic than Tsarnaev's "How a popular, promising student was failed by his family, fell into radical Islam and became a monster."

Other magazines have also put murderers on their covers. Time magazine used O.J. Simpson's mugshot after the murder of his former wife and a waiter, and it's also made some controversial decisions for its "Man of the Year" covers, including Adolph Hitler, Josef Stalin, and Ayatollah Khomeini after the Iranian hostage crisis.

There is something that irks about seeing criminals glamorized, which shows the power an image still has, and while the Rolling Stone article is balanced, do writers really need to humanize the sick and depraved? Is the description of Tsarnaev as a "popular, promising student" of value when stacked up against the enormity of his crime?

Images may be powerful, but social media may be more so. Rolling Stone's Facebook page has been flooded with more than 17,000 comments on the article so far, most excoriating the magazine for its decision. But CVS used Twitter to make its announcement that it wouldn't be selling the magazine "out of respect for the victims and their loved ones," as did Kmart. Both Tedeschi and Roche Bros. used their Facebook accounts to make their statements, while Walgreen used both social media platforms.

So strong has been the outcry that Rolling Stone was forced to defend its decision by amending an editor's note to the article expressing sympathy for the victims but also saying it's part of its heritage of "serious and thoughtful coverage" of political and cultural news. To me, it's more like the Kardashians or any of the "Housewives" shows on TV where the entertainment industry attempts to popularize and normalize the most base, crass aspects of society.

Although print media has stemmed the worst of its declines as circulation slipped just 0.3% in 2012 (while paid subscriptions inched up 0.7%), the visceral reaction to this cover shows why the printed medium is not dead, or shouldn't be, if only publishers would stop trying to kill it off by angering and alienating their readership. Indeed, Rolling Stone's paid and verified circulation of 1.46 million, up from 1.28 million a decade ago, is among the highest it's ever been.

But edgy doesn't always mean cutting edge, convey gravitas, or even suggest good reporting, and giving a terrorist the "celebrity cover treatment" seems more a shameful push to garner eyeballs during a manufactured controversy than a throwback to the gonzo journalism of Hunter S. Thompson, who used to spill ink in Rolling Stone's pages.

What about you? Do you think Rolling Stone's decision to put the bombing suspect on its cover is deplorable, or is it simply an attempt to generate magazine sales through controversy? Take our poll below.

As this incident shows, social media can have an immediate impact on the discourse of the day. And while Twitter and Facebook gain much of the attention, there's one incredible social media stock growing twice as fast as Google and Facebook and more than three times as fast as Amazon.com and Apple. Watch our jaw-dropping investor alert video today to find out why The Motley Fool's chief technology officer is putting $117,238 of his own money on the table, and why he's so confident this will be a huge winner in 2013 and beyond. Just click here to watch!

Friday, October 25, 2013

Owl Spring Targets Activism with a Hedge

Corrected from 2:54 p.m. to reference investment in International Game Technology (IGT) and not International Technology Group (ITG)

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Activist investors such as Carl Icahn, Jeffrey Ubben of ValueAct Capital, Nelson Peltz of Trian Management and Bill Ackman of Pershing Square have spent 2013 engaging companies as big as Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Pepsico (PEP) and Procter & Gamble (PG), however, some funds entering the business are content to take on smaller parts of the stock market.

Owl Spring Asset Management, a combination of Ader Investment Management and Cumberland Associates, is poised to launch with $225 million in assets under management and a strategy of imparting change at under-performing or mismanaged companies between $200 million and $2 billion in size. The firm will also look to hedge its investments with a portfolio of short positions that may be unique among so-called activist funds.

The fund's creation, which was announced on Wednesday, also comes at a time when small and mid-sized firms are generally overlooked by the business press and retail investors. Meanwhile, a rising number of initial public offerings in 2013 and the poor performance of some once high-profile firms is creating a new crop of companies for activists and value investors to target.

Owl Spring will be run by Jason Ader, a prominent gaming analyst who successfully advocated board changes at International Game Technology  (ITG) this year with his firm Ader Investment Management. Ader will be joined by Andrew Wallach, the CEO of Cumberland Associates, the predecessor of Owl Spring Asset Management. Cumberland Associates also has a record of value and change-based investments. The firm was part of a group of funds that recapitalized auto parts supplier Visteon (VC) after the firm's 2009 bankruptcy and helped it re-emerge as a public company. In the past, year Visteon has also changed CEOs, streamlined its assets and increased its share buyback authorization to $1 billion. According to a spokesperson, Ader Investment Management has returned 40.05% this year, following a 14.92% in 2012, while Cumberland Associates has posted an impressive annualized 14.5% rate of return over 43 years. SEC filings as of June 30 show that United Rentals (URI), Liberty Media (LMCA), General Motors (GM), GenCorp (GY) and AIG (AIG) were Cumberland's top holdings. The fund also opened position in Regions Financial (RF) and ING US (VOYA) in the second quarter, the filings show. Ader and Wallach spoke in a telephone interview about their strategy to grow Owl Spring into a "constructivist" fund. The firm will concentrate on debt and equity investments across the retail, technology, media, gaming, financial and energy sector. In spite of a rash of activist investments in 2013 and the rise of new funds such as Starboard Value, Barington Capital, Marcato Capital, Ader and Wallach say there are plenty of opportunities for investors seeking to create value by way improving poor capital allocation or corporate governance policies. They also don't appear to be overly concerned about a rise in stock market valuations through 2013. "I personally have found it is more useful to think about absolute valuation than relative valuation," Wallach said of current market valuations. With new companies hitting 52-week lows on a daily basis, he said the trick will be identifying firms with the ability to recover. Owl Spring will concentrate on debt and equity investments across sectors like retail, technology, media, gaming, financials and energy. Wallach highlighted the technology sector as a particularly tricky part of the market where Owl Spring may be able to identify value. He said many firms in the technology space trade at low multiples and have inefficient balance sheets that could support stock buybacks and dividends. Some tech firms may also have longer lives than investors may expect, Wallach said, citing a potential consolidation of semi-conductor firms as an opportunity. Ader added that in deciding between tech firms that are value traps and those that could present an opportunity for an activist he often asks: "Would anyone care if this business went away?" In the case of Blockbuster the answer was clearly no, however, Ader said firms such as Yahoo (YHOO), with its popular Asian businesses, prove some firms have longer life spans than the market may expect. When asked about BlackBerry (BBRY), Ader said he had friends on Wall Street that would care if the business went away. "I do see value there and it is one that is interesting," Ader said of BlackBerry.

Ader cautioned about the ability for activists to impart change within the banking sector, given the Federal Reserve's influence in approving board directors. Even if a firm like Owl Spring were to win a proxy contest, there is no guarantee their seat would be approved by the Fed, Ader said. Owl Spring will start with $225 million in combined capital and it will plan to bring in new partners through 2014. They, however, don't plan to do significant advertising given a long-standing investor base. -- Written by Antoine Gara in New York. Follow @antoinegara

Thursday, October 24, 2013

Better Costume, Lower Cost: This Halloween, Hit the Thrift Shop

New York, NY, USA, East Village, Shopping, Vintage Clothing Store, Inside CLothing Racks, Alamy Every October, hundreds of Halloween pop-up stores emerge in malls and empty storefronts across the country. Meanwhile, existing costume shops hire a ton of seasonal employees for the Halloween rush, and drugstores and other retailers dedicate an aisle or two to costumes and candy. At every one of these establishments, you'll find a variety of ready-made costumes in bags, not to mention fake weapons, mustaches, wigs and other accessories. But when it comes time to choose your costume, we'd urge you to skip the Halloween store and head for the thrift shop. "No costume-in-a-bag has ever won a costume contest," scoffs Melissa Massello, founder of DIY and frugal living site Shoestring Magazine. "If you go the DIY route, you're much more likely to get the cash prize or gift certificate." Even if you don't care about winning costume contests, there's another good argument for skipping the costume shop: It's a lot cheaper to put your costume from scratch than to buy it ready-made. Consider one staple costume: The old-timey gangster. This one usually consists of a large-fitting, pinstriped suit, some manner of fedora or other brimmed hat, and perhaps a fake tommy gun. Throw in a wide tie with a thick knot, and perhaps a cigar, and you're all set. I visited a large costume shop here in New York, and found a whole section dedicated to the gangster look. Its offerings were pricey: One costume cost $60, and another came in at $70. The bag contained only the suit -- no tie, tommy gun or hat was included. Then I headed over to the Salvation Army thrift store, which happened to be next door. There were plenty of ill-fitting suits on the rack, and I found a nice pinstriped one for just $24. But that's not all: Most of the store is 50 percent off on Wednesday, so the actual price was just $12. And unlike the polyester "suits" from the costume shop, these were real garments, meant to last, albeit used ones that probably needed a good dry-cleaning. If I'd decided I liked the look of the suit, I could've even had it tailored after Halloween and entered it into regular rotation in my wardrobe. The mass-produced "gangster" costume, by contrast, looked unlikely to hold up to multiple wearings. That's just one example. Another would be the classic Super Mario costume, which consists of a pair of blue overalls, a red shirt and a red hat. At a costume shop, you're looking at paying about $40 for this costume. (That's also what you pay for a "Pete the Plumber" costume, a shameless ripoff of Nintendo's beloved character.) But again, there's no need to buy a costume in a bag when it can be assembled from clothes found at any thrift store -- how much would it really cost to buy a pair of overalls and a red shirt at your local Goodwill? If you do decide to go the thrift store route, there are a few things to keep in mind going in. Things are about to get very busy. "October is like Black Friday for thrift stores," says Massello, who has a tradition of making her costumes from scratch. "At this point, a week away, they're starting to get picked over." Get there before the weekend rush if you can, but keep in mind that you might need to hit multiple stores in the area to put together your full costume. Plan ahead, but be willing to improvise. Massello recommends doing Google Image searches of your costume beforehand and putting together an itemized list of what you need at the store (and what you can provide from your own closet). But if you still haven't decided on a costume, or you're not sure that you'll find every element you need, your best bet might be to go in with a few costumes in mind and hope that inspiration strikes while you're browsing the buck-a-pound box. Remember to clean what you get. There's one advantage that a costume in a bag has over a thrift-store creation: It doesn't need to be cleaned first. Make sure you leave enough time to clean your purchase. "You need to assume that nothing has been washed at a thrift store," Massello says. "If you're buying the day before, don't buy something that has to be dry-cleaned."

Wednesday, October 23, 2013

Yahoo Earnings Tell Bigger Picture

Yahoo's third quarter earnings announcement reveals a disquieting trend, not just for them, but for the entire online ad system, says MoneyShow's Jim Jubak.

Yahoo, or Yahooooo, went out and announced its third quarter earnings on October 15. They weren't terrible. They beat by a penny. They announced 34 cents for the quarter instead of 33 cents, but there are some disquieting trends in those numbers that aren't just disquieting for Yahoo, but disquieting, really, for the whole online ad system.

Now the problem that Yahoo had, I'm going to have to consult my numbers here, is they saw a big drop in display advertising, down about 7% year to year, they saw a big drop in search revenue, down about 8% year to year. The thing that's interesting here is that the number of paid clicks was up but the price per click was down, down around, oh, 4% year over year, so what you're seeing is more action but lower prices.

This is the problem that's really shown up in earnings for Google, and a lot of other online advertising vehicles that, with the advent of mobile, we've got a whole new sort of passel, a whole new empire of available space to sell, which, of course, would, by itself, drive down ad rates, but if you've got more places to put ads and therefore demand and supply are a little out of whack, but also that companies aren't willing to pay yet as much as for a display or for any kind of ad on mobile, as they're willing to pay for an ad on a PC, or even say, a notebook.

So, what you're seeing in the Yahoo numbers is, besides any particular problems that Yahoo's having, and Yahoo's clearly having problems driving display revenue, that's been a problem that it's had and it continues to have. The overall problem for the sector is really in that falling rate, that the number of clicks is going up but the dollar per click is going down and until that gets fixed, this sector is not going to produce the kinds of numbers that really knock anybody's socks off and certainly not for anybody except the very top-tier players such as a Google.

This is Jim Jubak for the MoneyShow.com Video Network.

Abenomics' Special Economic Zones, Sans Labor Deregulation, Head for Approval

During the past week, Prime Minister Abe Shinzo and his cabinet have been presenting and defending key Abenomics initiatives before a special session

English: Margaret Thatcher, former UK PM. Fran...

English: Margaret Thatcher, former UK PM. Français : Margaret Thatcher 日本語: 「鉄の女」サッチャー英首相 Nederlands: Margaret Thatcher Svenska: Margaret Thatcher som oppositionsledare 1975 Русский: Маргарет Тэтчер, бывшая премьер-министр Великобритании (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

of the Japanese Diet. Watching the live NHK broadcasts, one has to admire the British parliamentary system's direct Q & A format, where opposition politicians can grill the prime minister et al directly with repeated follow up questions, and demand answers, for 15 minutes or longer.

Since Abe's Liberal Democratic Party/New Komeito (LDP/NK) coalition victory in the July upper house election, the situation of "divided government"—with opposition parties controlling one Diet chamber and blocking most reform–which prevailed for most of past six years, has been resolved. As in the British system, the government is now virtually assured of passing any legislative proposals it presents.

The trouble for Abe is not the opposition parties, but members of his own coalition:  with dissident members of his own party, and sometimes with cabinet ministers. Ironically, the landslide LDP victory brought in a host of new LDP Dietmen beholden to special interest constituencies and opposed to reform. Cabinet ministers will represent the bureaucratic interests of their ministries.

About the cabinet, a critical point was explained to me yesterday by Professor Yashiro Naohiro, one of Japan's most authoritative voices on labor policies, and a key player in Koizumi-era key deregulation efforts, particularly "Special Zones for Structural Reform" (see my interview with Yashiro last year). I visited Yashiro in his academic office in Sangenjiaya to ask about labor issues and Abe's "national strategic zones" initiative.

Explained Yashiro, as in the British system, the Japanese prime minister is just one minister among others within a cabinet.  Policy proposals must be supported unanimously by all cabinet members. Thus, a cabinet member, by dissenting, can prevent a proposal opposed by the ministry he represents from being adopted by the cabinet.

Margaret Thatcher, pursuing her reform agenda against bureaucratic opposition, did not hesitate to fire dissenting ministers, replacing them with supporters, remarked Yashiro. Abe is more polite.

We are seeing these elements of Japanese political economy playing out now.

Abe's government is planning to push through some key legislation of the "third arrow" growth strategy during the current special Diet session that ends on December 6. On November 1 Abe is schedule to present to the full Diet lower house bill to enhance business competitiveness, including tax incentives to promote investment and sector restructuring. The new draft laws—generally favored also by the opposition Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ)–could be approved by mid-month.

Abe's second major "growth strategy" push this Diet session is to establish next year geographically-limited "national strategic zones" within which to pursue "bold deregulation." Draft legislation will be presented to the in early November.

PM Abe has been heading a committee hammering out draft legislation for the "zones." The committee includes only four minister level members—PM Abe, the chief cabinet secretary, Suga Yoshihide, the minister for internal affairs, Shindo Yoshitaka, and the minister for economic and fiscal policy, Amari Akira, as well as "knowledgeable persons" from the private sector

The absence of ministers from the various ministries in either of these groups gives the impression that Abe is determined not to allow bureaucratic interests to derail reform.  Professor Yashiro points out that central ministry officials will always be involved in substantive deliberations, and their opposition will be enough to block progress. This has happened in the case of labor rule reform.

The zones have been conceived as places for relaxing or eliminating Japan's regulatory restrictions in the areas of medical care, employment, agriculture, education, construction, and residential property use. While many politicians dream of reviving rural areas, it appears that the four or five zones are likely to be established first in Tokyo, Osaka, Nagoya, and Fukuoka.

One of the main targets of the zones is international investors and companies. Abe clearly believes that Japan needs to attract more foreign investment and corporate operations to Japan's major cities. The zones are intended to remove restrictions and regulations that are believed to have discouraged such investments and operations.

Thus, in the outlines reforms within the zones we see allowing foreign doctors to practice (but only on foreigners) and to use drugs not currently approved in Japan.  Likewise, foreign teachers can be employed and foreign educational institutions will be allowed to use public facilities (classrooms, etc.) within the zones, providing schooling for foreign staff.

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

Do These Factors Support BlackBerry?

With shares of BlackBerry (NASDAQ:BBRY) trading around $8, is BBRY an OUTPERFORM, WAIT AND SEE, or STAY AWAY? Let's analyze the stock with the relevant sections of our CHEAT SHEET investing framework:

T = Trends for a Stock’s Movement

BlackBerry is a designer, manufacturer, and marketer of wireless solutions for the worldwide mobile communications market. Through the development of integrated hardware, software, and services it provides platforms and solutions for seamless access to information such as email, voice, instant messaging, SMS, Internet, intranet-based applications, and browsing. Its products and services feature the BlackBerry wireless solution, the Research In Motion Wireless Handheld product line, the BlackBerry PlayBook tablet, software development tools, and other software and hardware.

BlackBerry has reportedly gained some interest from the Chinese electronics company Lenovo, although sources are differing on whether Lenovo's interested in purchasing BlackBerry as a whole or just parts. The Wall Street Journal reported that Lenovo is interested in buying all of BlackBerry, but Reuters has said that the Chinese company would face too much regulatory scrutiny, particularly in regards to BlackBerry's secure network. Reuters reported that Lenovo would more likely get BlackBerry's handset business, while a North American buyer would be better suited for BlackBerry's network.

T = Technicals on the Stock Chart Are Weak

BlackBerry stock has struggled to make positive progress in the last several years. The stock is currently trading near lows for the year and looks poised to continue this trend. Analyzing the price trend and its strength can be done using key simple moving averages. What are the key moving averages? The 50-day (pink), 100-day (blue), and 200-day (yellow) simple moving averages. As seen in the daily price chart below, BlackBerry is trading below its key averages, which signal neutral to bearish price action in the near-term.

BBRY

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(Source: Thinkorswim)

Taking a look at the implied volatility (red) and implied volatility skew levels of BlackBerry options may help determine if investors are bullish, neutral, or bearish.

Implied Volatility (IV)

30-Day IV Percentile

90-Day IV Percentile

BlackBerry Options

67.12%

16%

15%

What does this mean? This means that investors or traders are buying a small amount of call and put options contracts as compared to the last 30 and 90 trading days.

Put IV Skew

Call IV Skew

November Options

Steep

Average

December Options

Steep

Average

As of today, there is an average demand from call buyers or sellers and high demand by put buyers or low demand by put sellers, all neutral to bearish over the next two months. To summarize, investors are buying a small amount of call and put option contracts and are leaning neutral to bearish over the next two months.

On the next page, let’s take a look at the earnings and revenue growth rates and the conclusion.

E = Earnings Are Increasing Quarter-Over-Quarter

Rising stock prices are often strongly correlated with rising earnings and revenue growth rates. Also, the last four quarterly earnings announcement reactions help gauge investor sentiment on BlackBerry’s stock. What do the last four quarterly earnings and revenue growth (Y-O-Y) figures for BlackBerry look like and more importantly, how did the markets like these numbers?

2013 Q2

2013 Q1

2012 Q4

2012 Q3

Earnings Growth (Y-O-Y)

-308.89%

83.84%

178.41%

-96.08%

Revenue Growth (Y-O-Y)

-45.02%

9.37%

-35.97%

-47.21%

Earnings Reaction

-0.99%

-27.76%

-0.89%

-22.73%

BlackBerry has seen mixed earnings and decreasing revenue figures over the last four quarters. From these numbers, the markets have been disappointed about BlackBerry’s recent earnings announcements.

P = Weak Relative Performance Versus Peers and Sector

How has BlackBerry stock done relative to its peers, Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Google (NASDAQ:GOOG), Nokia (NYSE:NOK), and sector?

BlackBerry

Apple

Google

Nokia

Sector

Year-to-Date Return

-29.70%

-4.60%

42.14%

81.14%

20.16%

BlackBerry has been a weak relative performer, year-to-date.

Conclusion

BlackBerry provides innovative wireless communication products to consumers and companies worldwide. More takeover news is hitting headlines as Lenovo has reportedly gained some interested in the company. The stock has not done well in recent years and is now trading near lows for the year. Over the last four quarters, earnings have been mixed while revenues have been decreasing which has disappointed investors. Relative to its peers and sector, BlackBerry has been a weak year-to-date performer. WAIT AND SEE what BlackBerry does this quarter.

Monday, October 21, 2013

Trouble for the King of Cupertino?

Last Saturday, Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT  ) permanently lowered its already discounted price for Apple's (NASDAQ: AAPL  ) iPhone 5 and 4S on a two-year contract. Available in stores only, shoppers can now score an iPhone 5 for $129 or an iPhone 4S for $39 with a fresh two-year contract from Verizon, AT&T, or Sprint.

Often permanent discounts are precursors to product refreshes, but Apple's upcoming iPhone 5S isn't expected to be available until sometime this fall. As you can imagine, the timing of this development could be interpreted as troubling for Apple investors.

The neighbor's cleaning house, too
Wal-Mart isn't the only retailer that's allegedly cleaning house on iPhone inventory. Best Buy (NYSE: BBY  ) has extended a promotion until June 29 to trade in your current iPhone 4 or 4S in return for a $150 gift card, which could be put toward a $149.99 iPhone 5 with a new two-year contract. The trade-in credit can only be put toward the iPhone 5, leading to me wonder if Apple is working behind the scenes. You would think that Best Buy doesn't necessarily care how you spend your $150 credit.

The bigger picture
Two possible scenarios may be playing out here. The first is that Apple could be working behind the scenes to fight off the competition from the likes of Google Android and Samsung until it releases the iPhone 5S. If this were to be the case, Apple's average selling price for iPhones would decline, gross profits would erode, and investors would not be happy campers. Additionally, it would signal that Apple is either desperate or scared, two qualities which investors aren't usually OK with.

The second could be that Best Buy and Wal-Mart are battling it out for foot traffic and the retailers themselves will be taking the hit. Back in January, Best Buy claimed it lost $65,000 in one day as a result of price matching against Wal-Mart's iPhone 5 discount. Perhaps this is round two between these giants?

Unless we hear from the companies directly, there's no way to know for sure how this story breaks down. With Apple's earnings release less than a month away, I'm sure investors will get some color on the issue. In the meantime, Apple investors should keep a watchful eye for additional iPhone retailer discounts that may offer clues.

Apple has a history of cranking out revolutionary products... and then creatively destroying them with something better. Read about the future of Apple in the free report, "Apple Will Destroy Its Greatest Product." Can Apple really disrupt its own iPhones and iPads? Find out by clicking here.

Sunday, October 20, 2013

Why Medivation Shares Retreated

Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.

What: Shares of biopharmaceutical company Medivation (NASDAQ: MDVN  ) sank as much as 11% after rival Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ  ) announced it was purchasing Aragon Pharmaceuticals to get ahold of its experimental advanced prostate cancer drug, ARN-509.

So what: Johnson & Johnson has agreed to purchase Aragon for $650 million with the potential for up to $350 million in additional milestone payments. ARN-509 is a currently in mid-stage trials and is considered a potential rival to Medivation's metastatic prostate cancer drug, Xtandi. Weighing in on today's actions, Citigroup analyst Yaron Werber noted concerns for Medivation, but also opined that J&J's purchase of ARN-509 is likely an indication that it expects the prostate cancer market to expand with its own FDA-approved prostate cancer drug, Zytiga, also in the same space.

Now what: Personally, I'd call today's move lower a gross overreaction. ARN-509 still has plenty to prove in clinical trials, and it'll be years before it makes it to market. In the meantime, Xtandi was approved in the U.S. three months ahead of its PDUFA date, it received approval in Canada two weeks ago, and it gained a positive view from the European Medicine Agency's panel. There is plenty of room for growth from Xtandi over the coming years, especially with prostate cancer being the most-diagnosed cancer of them all in the U.S. In sum, I wouldn't let J&J's purchase change your investing thesis on the company.

Craving more input? Start by adding Medivation to your free and personalized watchlist so you can keep up on the latest news with the company.

Involved in everything from baby powder to biotech, Johnson & Johnson's critics are convinced that the company is spread way too thin. If you want to know if J&J is nothing but a bloated corporate whale -- or a well-diversified giant that's perfect for your portfolio -- check out The Fool's new premium report outlining the Johnson & Johnson story in terms that any investor can understand. Claim your copy by clicking here now. 

Saturday, October 19, 2013

Do you need a career coach?

When management consultant Cheryl Wallace, 49, returned to the workforce after years of unsuccessfully trying to conceive, she had to rebuild from the ground up. "It took me two years to learn how to tell my story without crying," recalls Wallace, a New Yorker.

Her turning point came when a career coach told Wallace, in a no-nonsense way, that she was sharing too much of her personal struggles while networking and job hunting. Wallace and her coach came up with language that would explain the long gap on her résumé while keeping it professional—and tear-free.

"That one coaching relationship gave me the most important tool: how to tell that story," Wallace says. "I was making the transition from the open wound to having to have a game face."

Whether you are returning to the workforce, need a different job or want to explore a change, a career coach could help you chart your course. But before you invest precious time and resources, make sure you select a reputable coach who can tailor advice and support to meet your needs.

"As the coaching industry has exploded, there hasn't been a specific way to evaluate the coaching models and the courses," says Peggy Klaus, a consultant and author of The Hard Truth About Soft Skills: Workplace Lessons Smart People Wish They'd Learned Sooner. "A lot of these coaching programs are so quick and thin. People just put out their shingles."

Klaus once saw a new client who had been told by another coach not to stand out from the job applicant pool. The client was advised to dress in a shapeless, gray, pin-striped suit with an oxford shirt. "She looked so drab and so awful," Klaus says. "There can be a lot of bad advice, maybe well-intended, that will really derail you in your efforts."

To find a coach who fits your needs, ask family, friends and colleagues for references, and review training, experience, certifications and professional affiliations. For help finding a coach, check with the International Coach Federation (coachfederation! .org), a professional association that certifies coaches.

Know What You Want

Having some sense of your goals will drive the coach selection process. "If you're trying to figure out what feeds your soul, you need a career coach," says Lora B. Poepping, a job-search coach based in Seattle. "If you already know what you want to do but you need some assistance navigating the challenging process, find a job-search coach."

Working with Poepping, Hilary Meyerson, 42, of Seattle, mapped out a strategy to return to full-time work after being home with her children, now 11 and 13, since 2002. "When I was just going back to the workforce, I was so overwhelmed. I didn't know where to start," Meyerson says. "After every session she gave me homework, really clear, crisp things I needed to send her before our next session. It refined my messaging."

First, Meyerson took an unpaid internship for four months to add recent experience to her résumé. Then, she leveraged her occasional freelance writing into a position as a magazine editor, negotiating the additional title of social media strategist with her end goal in mind. After a couple of years, she joined an Internet startup as a marketing communications manager and social media strategist—achieving her ultimate goal.

Janice Smith, Ernst & Young's Americas coaching leader, enlisted a coach herself when moving into her current role. "My goal was to find my leadership voice, my leadership style," says Smith, 47, who is based in Denver. "It's hard work. Any good coaching relationship comes with a big dose of self-awareness."

Prepare to Work Hard

In fact, one of the most important things to understand about career coaching is the amount of effort and personal growth involved.

"Sometimes people will come and think there's no work on their part, that somehow I'm the job fairy or the promotion fairy, and I can give them five easy steps to this goal," says Linda Mercurio, a professional coach based in the Washington, D.C.! , metro a! rea. "This is a messier process."

Because coaching requires tough personal work, it's important to feel a connection with your coach. Find one with the right chemistry—he or she will push you to understand your weaknesses, so you need to develop trust.

Nancy O'Brien, 55, engaged a coach when she was thinking of leaving her "big job" as a director of commercialization to start a tasting room and retail store for olive oil and vinegar in Bar Harbor, Maine. She and her coach clarified the reasons she wanted to become an entrepreneur, and her coach helped her keep perspective in the throes of the transition.

"The process of a life change should never be blindly taken," O'Brien says. "To have the ear, the shoulder and the expertise of a coach to steer and direct is immeasurable."

Choosing a coach

Any coaching engagement should have a clear beginning, middle and end—typically three to six months. Questions to ask a prospective coach include:

Tell me about your background in coaching, your experience, certifications and professional affiliations.What type of clients do you work with in terms of industry, age and gender?What is your coaching process or system?How will we measure improvement?How long do you expect the engagement to last?What am I not asking you that would be good for me to know?

This article is excerpted from USA TODAY Best Years magazine, featuring lifestyle stories for women 50 and older. Find it on magazine newsstands or at bestyears.usatoday.com.

Friday, October 18, 2013

Needham & Company Lifts Estimates on Apple (AAPL)

On Tuesday, Needham & Company reported that it has raised its estimates on Apple Inc. (AAPL) ahead of its fourth quarter earnings.

The firm has maintained a “Buy” rating and $595 price target on Apple, suggesting an 18% increase from the stock’s current price of $487.75.

Analyst Charlie Wolf noted: “Based on the sale of 9 million iPhones over its launch weekend and Apple’s marginally higher guidance for its fourth fiscal quarter, we’re raising our fourth quarter estimate from $7.49 to $8.01 (cons $7.86) and our fiscal 2013 estimate from $39.00 to $39.50. Our 2014 estimate remains at $42.00″

In response to Apple’s successful iPhone launch weekend, the firm has raised its Q4 iPhone shipment outlook from 30 million to 34.2 million. The firm has also cut its iPad shipment estimate from 17.5 million to 13 million.

Apple shares were mostly flat during pre-market trading Tuesday. The stock is down 8% YTD.

Thursday, October 17, 2013

Simplicity: The One-Fund Approach

Top 10 Oil Stocks To Own For 2014

Investing these days is like sitting down at a restaurant with a 500-page menu. With so many choices, even the most experienced of investors might feel overwhelmed, however, sometimes simple is better, writes Rob Carrick of The Globe and Mail.

Even savvy investors can be overwhelmed by the number of investment choices available in Canada: 355 exchange-traded funds, 17,517 mutual funds and 1,977 individual stocks, and other securities listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange. You can add another 4,699 stocks, ETFs, and other odds and ends if you add the various listings on the New York Stock Exchange, and still another 2,746 choices on the Nasdaq. More choices are arriving all the time.

The irony here is that a single well-chosen fund may suffice. Consider the one-fund approach if you're a beginner and you don't know where to start and don't have much money, or a busy individual looking for a reliable auto-pilot approach, or an actively engaged investor who wants a simple solution for at least some of your money.

To be worthy of consideration as an investor's single holding, a fund must have low fees, a mix of bonds and stocks, exposure to companies from Canada, the United States, and around the world, and a track record of competitive returns. I recently came up with nine such funds.

Among them are three of the four funds in the Streetwise lineup from the online bank ING Direct, which is owned by Bank of Nova Scotia. A fourth Streetwise fund was left out because it has exposure to stocks only, and no bonds.

Streetwise funds are so simple in construction they may offend experienced investors used to more diversity and complexity. Each is a blend of index funds, tracking bonds, Canadian stocks, US stocks, and international stocks (everywhere but North America). Yes, sensible portfolios can be this simple.

The management expense ratio for Streetwise funds is 1.07%, which is high for a plain vanilla index fund product but acceptable for two reasons. One, the fund has no minimum investment and thus is accessible to all. Two, the holdings of each of the funds are rebalanced automatically.

Each of the three Streetwise funds offers a different mix of stocks and bonds. Rebalancing, often neglected by investors, ensures the funds keep to that blend over time. Without rebalancing, you could gradually find yourself with more stocks or bonds in your portfolio than you want or need.

Consider Streetwise as a good option for beginners with little money to invest. Investors with $5,000 to $25,000 and a desire for simplicity should investigate a handful of other low-cost funds that can be a portfolio unto themselves.

Two possibilities are Mawer Balanced, for registered accounts, and Mawer Tax Effective Balanced, for non-registered accounts. The MER for both is just below 1%, and returns have been very strong and consistent over the years.

Both products are essentially a fund of funds, which is to say their portfolios are built mainly on other funds in the Mawer lineup. Don't worry about extra fees from the underlying funds—you pay only the headline MERs, which in this case are among the lowest in the balanced fund world.

Mawer funds are sold by most online brokers, with RBC Direct Investing a notable exception. You can usually buy the funds with no commissions and a minimum upfront investment of $5,000.

A minimum $5,000 will also get you into Leith Wheeler Balanced if you buy from online brokers. This fund has among the highest fees of any of the names considered here, at 1.17%, but its returns have been competitive and it offers a lower level of volatility than many of its peers in the global equity balanced category.

One more balanced fund to consider is CI Signature High Income (BPIHINCF:CN), which has a low MER by fund industry standards, but is nevertheless the most expensive fund on this list. It's a fairly aggressive fund, but diversified globally and a consistently strong performer in the past.

Balanced funds like this have been monster sellers for the mutual fund industry, but ETF companies haven't had much success with them. The typical ETF is an index-tracking fund that trades like a stock; a very small number of ETFs bundle a group of underlying funds into a fund-of-funds portfolio. Two of these ETF products stand out.

One is the iShares Balanced Income CorePortfolio Fund (CBD:CN), and the other is the iShares Balanced Growth CorePortfolio Fund (CBN:CN). Fees are on the high side for these funds, at 0.89% for CBN:CN and 0.72% for CBD:CN, but you benefit from having iShares maintain a portfolio containing 15-plus underlying ETFs covering sectors, such as the Canadian and foreign stocks, emerging markets, global real estate, gold and preferred shares.

Are these ETFs perhaps diversified to the point of silliness, with some holdings accounting for just 0.5% of the portfolio? Possibly, but the concept seems to be working. CBD:CN has been a steady performer for five years, and CBN:CN has been coming on strong in the past three years.

If you're going to make frequent additions to your holdings in one of these ETFs, consider using an online brokerage, such as Questrade or Virtual Brokers, that waives ETF purchase commissions (National Bank Direct Brokerage has waived ETF commissions until October 31). Qtrade Investor and Scotia iTrade have a limited selection of commission-free ETFs.

Back in the mutual fund world, you'll find a surfeit of both balanced funds and a similar one-fund product called a wrap, or, in marketing lingo, a portfolio solution. Most wraps are overpriced and undistinguished: Avoid them, they put marketing ahead of sound financial management.

Sadly, this advice applies to wraps in the same family as the highly regarded TD e-series of index mutual funds. Individual e-series funds are available only online through TD Asset Management or the discount broker TD Direct Investing, and they're ideal for beginners and people who want to gradually build portfolios with minimal wastage on fees and commissions.

There are five e-series wraps offering various levels of risk and the convenience of rebalancing. The fees seem high, though. An example is TD Managed Index Balanced Growth - e, with an MER of 1.29%.

If you manually assembled the same portfolio as TD Managed Index Balanced Growth using individual e-series index funds, your fees would be more than halved.

Single-fund convenience is great, but sometimes—as in this case—it pays to do the portfolio-building yourself.

For more personal finance coverage, follow Rob Carrick on Twitter (@rcarrick) and Facebook (robcarrickfinance).

Read more of Portfolio Strategy here…

Wednesday, October 16, 2013

Debt Ceiling Deal ‘Still Far Off,’ Says White House

With only two days left before the Treasury runs out of authority to borrow money, White House Press Secretary Jay Carney said Tuesday afternoon that a deal to raise the debt ceiling and end the government shutdown was “still far off.”

Carney said during his daily briefing that while the administration was “encouraged by the progress we’ve seen in the Senate … we’re far from a deal at this point.”

House Republican leaders pulled the plug Tuesday afternoon on their own plan that they had announced only hours before. House GOP leaders said the plan they floated, which would deprive members of Congress, the president, the vice president and White House political appointees of government contributions when they buy health insurance under the Affordable Care Act’s new exchanges, would likely fail to muster enough votes.

House Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, said that House Republicans had made “no decisions about what exactly we will do." Said Boehner: “We’re trying to find a way forward in a bipartisan way that would continue to provide fairness to the American people under Obamacare.”

The Wall Street Journal quoted a House Republican aide as saying that leaders were making changes to the proposal after getting feedback from rank-and-file members. “Some members suggested specific changes on a handful of issues that would increase support, and leaders are discussing those suggestions now,” the aide told the Journal.

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Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., said the Senate had been “blindsided” by the House GOP plan. He called the plan “an extreme bill [that] is nothing more than a blatant attack on bipartisanship.”

Hopes were raised over the weekend that a deal was at hand as Reid and Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., were attempting to reach an agreement. Reid said Tuesday that “the measure [that was] under discussion in the House is no part of what we’ve negotiated here in the Senate.”

Reid argued that the Republican bill would “make unacceptable, major changes to Obamacare.”

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down more than 100 points in midafternoon trading.

Yale economist and recennt Nobel winner Robert Shiller told CNBC on Tuesday that the fight in Congress was "not necessarily bad for the stock market."

"The Republicans want rich people to keep the money," he said. "That has to be good for the stock market. Of course, bad for the stock market is the reputational loss that this country could lose. So it's a wash."

Political Strategist Greg Valliere of Potomac Research opined in his Tuesday morning commentary that the worst-case scenario would be if “Boehner decides he can’t abandon his troops – and, potentially, his job – [and] the House attaches anti-Obamacare provisions to the Senate bill or funds the government for only a few weeks, beginning a round of legislative ping-pong that could last for days, well past the Oct. 17 deadline.”

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Check out Robert Shiller: Budget, Debt Fights a ‘Wash’ for Markets on ThinkAdvisor.

Monday, October 14, 2013

Columbia Property Trust IPO stings investors

nontraded real estate investment trust

Investors in Columbia Property Trust got some bad news last week when the REIT went public, in another sign that despite the real estate market's post-2008 recovery, older nontraded real estate investment trusts are still struggling with the hangover of the financial crisis.

The $5.7 billion REIT, stuffed with so-called Class A properties, began raising money at the start of the real estate boom in 2004 and finally went public last week at $22.50 a share, offering long-term investors a liquidity event to exit the fund.

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But before its public listing, the REIT underwent a reverse 4-for-1 share split, which raised its price to around $29 a share, from just over $7.33. That means investors who bought in at $10 a share essentially were offered the opportunity to cash out at a net asset value of around 45% less than the price they paid at their initial purchase.

The Columbia REIT has also cut its distributions twice since 2009, said Krisna Patel, an investment adviser at Om Wealth Management.

Mr. Patel estimates that his clients have lost about 30% since purchasing shares of the REIT in 2009.

By contrast, the $4.45 billion iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR), which tracks publicly traded REITs, has more than doubled in price over that period.

“The public listing was worse than we expected,” he said. “Over a time period where real estate has done well, these guys have continued to lower the dividend and lower the share price.”

Tripp Sullivan, spokesman for the REIT, did not return calls for comment.

The Columbia REIT was just the latest nontraded REIT to stage a liquidity event this year. (See also: Nontraded-REIT party is about to commence)

Chamber Street Properties (CSG) and Cole Real Estate Investments Inc. (COLE) both went public in the second quarter.

Chamber Street Properties fell from $10.10 a share to $9 a share Monday.

Cole Real Estate Investments has fared markedly better, trading at around $12.40, up from its initial public price of $11.50 a share.

In July, American Realty Capital Properties Inc. (ARCP) said it would buy the outstanding shares of a related nontraded REIT, American Realty Capital Trust IV, known as ARC IV, for $3.1 billion in stock and cash.

Other nontraded REITs, such as American Realty Capital Healthcare Trust Inc. and Griffin-American Healthcare REIT II, have also indicated that they will be exploring liquidity events this year.

Sunday, October 13, 2013

Asian Stocks Decline as U.S. Lawmakers Mired in Debt Stalemate

Asian stocks fell, with a regional gauge retreating from a four-month high, as American lawmakers struggled over an accord to raise the U.S. debt limit and restore government operations.

LG Electronics Inc., the world's No. 2 television maker that gets about 30 percent of sales in North America, slipped 0.9 percent in Seoul. Newcrest Mining Ltd. (NCM), Australia's biggest gold producer, declined 3.9 percent as the bullion traded near a three-month low. OZ Minerals Ltd., a copper supplier, tumbled 8.1 percent in Sydney after reducing its production forecast.

The MSCI Asia Pacific excluding Japan Index dropped 0.3 percent to 471 as of 10:04 a.m. in Singapore, with about three shares falling for each that rose. Markets in Tokyo and Hong Kong are shut for holidays. With the U.S. borrowing authority set to lapse Oct. 17, Senate leaders in Washington sought a pact to avert a default and re-open the government.

"It's a situation no one wants to be in, causing market volatility," said Angus Gluskie, managing director at White Funds Management Ltd., where he helps oversee about $550 million "The two political parties do need to reach an agreement. If there's no deal by Thursday, markets will fall further. Investors are getting a little bit concerned on China after seeing a couple of weak data points."

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid was negotiating with Minority Leader Mitch McConnell after talks between President Barack Obama and House Speaker John Boehner broke down. Chinese exports unexpectedly fell in September, data Oct. 12 showed.

Regional Gauges

Australia's S&P/ASX 200 Index declined 0.7 percent and Taiwan's Taiex retreated 0.9 percent. New Zealand's NZX 50 Index and South Korea's Kospi Index (KOSPI) both slipped 0.2 percent.

Singapore's Straits Times Index dropped 0.3 percent. The nation's economy shrank an annualized 1 percent in the three months through September from the previous quarter, when it expanded a revised 16.9 percent, the Trade Ministry said in a statement today. The median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey of 13 economists was for a 4 percent contraction.

China's Shanghai Composite Index was little changed. The nation's consumer prices rose 3.1 percent in September from a year earlier. That exceeded the 2.8 percent median estimate of 44 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News and compared with a 2.6 percent gain in August. India will release inflation data later today.

Reid Confident

Standard & Poor's 500 Index futures sank 0.7 percent. Reid said he's "in conversation" with McConnell and is "confident" Republicans will agree to end the partial government shutdown and raise the debt ceiling. McConnell said in a statement that it's time for Democrats to support a plan, based on one drafted by Republican Susan Collins, which Reid rejected Oct. 12.

The talks are shifting away from Republican efforts to curtail Obama's signature health-care law to rescinding a tax on medical devices to focus on the level of spending and the duration of the deficit-ceiling extension.

Obama, in a phone call with House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi of California, "reinforced that there must be a clean debt limit increase" -- and a stopgap spending measure also free of policy add-ons -- before budget negotiations can begin, according to a White House statement.

"The market fully expects a deal to be done, but they are going to be nervous until it's confirmed," Matt McCormick, who helps oversee $10.1 billion as a portfolio manager at Cincinnati, Ohio-based Bahl & Gaynor Inc., said by phone. "It will be jittery until it happens. A jittery, nervous market will blow up when it is finally resolved. Then it will trend back down."

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index, which includes Japan, climbed 1.3 percent last week amid optimism U.S. lawmakers were moving closer to resolving the debt impasse. The gauge traded at 13.6 times estimated earnings on Oct. 11, compared with 15.4 for the S&P 500 and 14.3 for the Stoxx Europe 600 Index.

Saturday, October 12, 2013

Hot Safest Stocks To Invest In Right Now

Income investors have two equally important objectives when it comes to investing -- obtaining high amounts of income and limiting risk.

Many survivors of the 2008 bear market learned this the hard way. They found out that they must either balance the two, or face heavy losses.

 
Case in point: Many investors jumped at abnormally high yields in financial stocks like Citigroup (NYSE: C) when its yield jumped above 10% shortly before the company eliminated its dividend. And investors looking for a bargain in General Electric (NYSE: GE) endured a dividend cut of almost 70%.

Remember, these are companies that were once widely assumed to be among the safest in the world, yet they eliminated their dividend practically overnight.

Hot Safest Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Fluor Corporation(FLR)

Fluor Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides engineering, procurement, construction, maintenance, and project management services worldwide. Its Oil & Gas segment offers design, engineering, procurement, construction, and project management services to upstream oil and gas production, downstream refining, chemicals, and petrochemicals industries. This segment also provides consulting services comprising feasibility studies, process assessment, and project finance structuring and studies. The company?s Industrial & Infrastructure segment offers design, engineering, procurement, and construction services to the transportation, wind power, mining and metals, life sciences, manufacturing, commercial and institutional, telecommunications, microelectronics, and healthcare sectors. Its Government segment provides engineering, construction, logistics support, contingency response, management, and operations services to the United States government focusing on the Departme nt of Energy, the Department of Homeland Security, and the Department of Defense. The company?s Global Services segment offers operations and maintenance, small capital project engineering and execution, site equipment and tool services, industrial fleet services, plant turnaround services, temporary staffing services, and supply chain solutions. Its Power segment provides engineering, procurement, construction, program management, start-up and commissioning, and operations and maintenance services to the gas fueled, solid fueled, plant betterment, renewables, nuclear, and power services markets. The company also offers unionized management and construction services in the United States and Canada. Fluor Corporation was founded in 1912 and is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Louis Navellier]

    Fluor Corporation (FLR) is one of the world�� leading heavy construction and engineering firms. I don’t want to imply that this is a bad company because it is actually a very good one. However, Fluor has divisions including Oil & Gas, Industrial Infrastructure, Government, Global Services and Power. Virtually all of them are seeing limited spending as a result of the global slowdown and reduced government spending around the world. The stock is up more than 23% this year, but earnings are actually down on flat revenues. Analysts have been lowering their estimates for the rest of this year as well as 2014, and the stock is currently rated as a by Portfolio Grader. When the economy recovers, I expect will see this company’s fundamentals improve substantially … but until that happens investors should avoid the stock.

  • [By The Energy Report]

    JH: One of the areas where the U.S. for decades has been the leading technological power is in small nuclear reactors. We've used them on our aircraft carriers and on our nuclear submarines safely and efficiently. The U.S. has an advantage in understanding small modular nuclear reactors. One of the companies that we have followed for a long time that's working on that is Babcock & Wilcox Co. (BWC). There's also Fluor Corp. (FLR), which is working on small modular nuclear reactors. President Obama and the Department of Energy are funding research on the implementation of small modular nuclear reactors.

  • [By CRWE]

    Fluor Corporation�� (NYSE:FLR) Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, David Seaton, and Chief Financial Officer, Biggs Porter, will give a presentation to investors at the Credit Suisse 2012 Engineering & Construction Conference in New York on Thursday, June 7 at 9:00 a.m. Eastern Daylight Time.

Hot Safest Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Under Armour Inc.(UA)

Under Armour, Inc. develops, markets, and distributes performance apparel, footwear, and accessories for men, women, and youth primarily in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It offers products made from moisture-wicking synthetic fabrics designed to regulate body temperature and enhance performance regardless of weather conditions. The company provides its products in three fit types: compression (tight fitting), fitted (athletic cut), and loose (relaxed) extending across the sporting goods, outdoor, and active lifestyle markets. Its footwear offerings comprise football, baseball, lacrosse, softball, and soccer cleats; slides; performance training footwear; and running footwear. The company also provides baseball batting, football, golf, and running gloves, as well as licenses bags, socks, headwear, custom-molded mouth guards, and eyewear that are designed to be used and worn before, during, and after competition. Under Armour sells its products through retai l stores, as well as directly to consumers through its own retail outlets and specialty stores, Website, and catalogs. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Baltimore, Maryland.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By WALLSTCHEATSHEET.COM]

    Under Armour is without a doubt a long-term winner, but the stock market is too hot right now for any real conviction, especially since Under Armour is trading at 49 times earnings. Nike wouldn�� be the best safe haven in a bear market, but it would be safer than Under Armour. That said, for investors who are capable of withstanding a hit and willing to purchase more on the way down if the stock gets hit, Under Armour is a long-term OUTPERFORM. This should be a safe long-term approach since Under Armour is highly likely to grow in the coming decades. It�� certainly not going anywhere.

  • [By Dan Caplinger]

    Competition is also an important consideration. Rival Gap (NYSE: GPS  ) has seen a lot of success lately with its general retail business, but one big component of its growth strategy involves its Athleta athletic-apparel stores. Meanwhile, Under Armour (NYSE: UA  ) has targeted yoga clothes as part of its overall plan to increase sales to women. Those retailers haven't yet done much to capitalize on the situation, but Lululemon's missteps could eventually give Gap and Under Armour the openings they need to make gains in the space.

  • [By Andrew Marder]

    Under Armour (NYSE: UA  ) and Gap (NYSE: GPS  ) both had a chance to make something of Lululemon's bad news, but neither acted quickly enough. As a result, Lululemon is likely to see less damage to its top and bottom lines in next week's earnings announcement. The company initially announced an impact on comparable sales of between 3% and 6%. I would be surprised if the damage was that bad, and the original comparable sales increase of 11% no longer seems out of reach.

  • [By Steve Symington]

    Back in February, up-and-coming performance-apparel specialist Under Armour (NYSE: UA  ) raised some eyebrows when it filed a lawsuit against its biggest competitor and global powerhouse Nike (NYSE: NKE  ) .

Top Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras(PBR)

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. primarily engages in oil and natural gas exploration and production, refining, trade, and transportation businesses. The company?s Exploration and Production segment involves in the exploration, production, development, and production of oil, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and natural gas in Brazil. This segment supplies its products to the refineries in Brazil, as well as sells surplus petroleum and byproducts in domestic and foreign markets. Its Supply segment engages in the refining, logistics, transportation, and trade of oil and oil products; export of ethanol; and extraction and processing of schist, as well as holds interests in companies of the petrochemical sector in Brazil. The Gas and Energy segment involves in the transportation and trade of natural gas produced in or imported into Brazil; transportation and trade of LNG; and generation and trade of electric power. In addition, the segment has interests in natural gas transportation and d istribution companies; and thermoelectric power stations in Brazil, as well engages in fertilizer business. The Distribution segment distributes oil products, ethanol, and compressed natural gas in Brazil. The International segment involves in the exploration and production of oil and gas, as well as in supplying, gas and energy, and distribution operations in the Americas, Africa, Europe, and Asia. Further, the company involves in biofuel production business. Petroleo Brasileiro was founded in 1953 and is based in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Jim Jubak]

    The auction news isn't good for investors in Brazil's Petrobras (PBR), but it could well be a boon for China and Chinese oil companies such as PetroChina (PTR) and CNOOC (CEO).

  • [By Tyler Crowe]

    Petrobras (NYSE: PBR  ) , Brazil's national oil company, is planning on spending $237 billion over the next seven years to double its oil output to about 5 million barrels per day. On a per-year basis, that much money is the same as one-third of what all U.S. exploration and production companies will spend combined. ��

  • [By Arjun Sreekumar]

    But over the past few years, the world's largest integrated oil companies have also joined the party. For instance, Brazilian oil major Petrobras (NYSE: PBR  ) is preparing to drill exploration wells offshore Tanzania, where it holds 50% stakes in two offshore exploratory blocks, while ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM  ) has turned its attention to exploratory prospects off the coast of South Africa, where it acquired a 75% stake in blocks owned by Impact Oil & Gas late last year.�

Hot Safest Stocks To Invest In Right Now: Goldman Sachs Group Inc.(The)

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides investment banking, securities, and investment management services to corporations, financial institutions, governments, and high-net-worth individuals worldwide. Its Investment Banking segment offers financial advisory, including advisory assignments with respect to mergers and acquisitions, divestitures, corporate defense, risk management, restructurings, and spin-offs; and underwriting securities, loans and other financial instruments, and derivative transactions. The company?s Institutional Client Services segment provides client execution activities, such as fixed income, currency, and commodities client execution related to making markets in interest rate products, credit products, mortgages, currencies, and commodities; and equities related to making markets in equity products, as well as commissions and fees from executing and clearing institutional client transactions on stock, options, and fu tures exchanges. This segment also engages in the securities services business providing financing, securities lending, and other prime brokerage services to institutional clients, including hedge funds, mutual funds, pension funds, and foundations. Its Investing and Lending segment invests in debt securities, loans, public and private equity securities, real estate, consolidated investment entities, and power generation facilities. This segment also involves in the origination of loans to provide financing to clients. The company?s Investment Management segment provides investment management services and investment products to institutional and individual clients. This segment also offers wealth advisory services, including portfolio management and financial counseling, and brokerage and other transaction services to high-net-worth individuals and families. In addition, it provides global investment research services. The company was founded in 1869 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Friday, October 11, 2013

5 Pillars of the New Financial Reality

middle aged man looking stressed over financesAlamy By now, most people recognize that the world of personal financial has undergone some drastic changes. Money expert and author Matt Rettick says Americans need to recognize that things will never go back to the way they were before the financial crisis. "The old fear used to be that you'd die right after you retired and you wouldn't have a chance to enjoy it," Rettick says. "The new fear is that you'll outlive your money." The days of relying on a combination of a pension from your lifelong employer and a reasonable Social Security check to support you in your old age are over. In fact, Rettick says, we're fast approaching a time when the average person could spend more years in retirement than working. His new book -- "All the Rules Have Changed: What You Must Do to Succeed in the New Financial Reality" -- delves into the new financial order. We recently talked to Rettick about the new financial strategies and how people need to adjust their plans in light of them. 5 Pillars of Financial Security and How to Replace Them 1. Pension plans are disappearing. "At their peak in 1983, there were 175,000 pension plans," says Rettick. "Today there are less than 25,000 pension plans and many of those are frozen so that new employees cannot join them. People are living 30 years on their pensions instead of two or three years, and stock market returns haven't been high enough, so many of these plans are insolvent." The solution: Rettick says you should create your own pension plan by setting up annuities for your retirement. 2. Social Security is unstable. "Since 2010 we've been paying out more money in Social Security benefits than we're taking in through payroll taxes," says Rettick. "Social Security will only become solvent if we decrease benefits or increase taxes. More than likely, they'll increase the age limits in the future." The solution: If you're under 40, you should act as if Social Security won't be there at all when you retire; if it is, then you'll have some bonus income in retirement. If you're older than 40, Rettick recommends working with a Social Security expert to help you decide when it's the right time to trigger your benefits. "If you take them at 62, you'll get 25 percent less than if you wait until you're 66, and if you wait until you're 70 you'll get 25 percent more than you will if you start at 66." 3. The stock market is volatile and unpredictable. "Twenty or 30 years ago, it was a big deal if the stock market moved 20 or 30 points in a day, but now we can see it move 400 points in a day," Rettick says. "The old rule used to be buy and hold because if you hang in there the market will come back. But depending on your age and whether you're in retirement, the impact of that strategy could be devastating." The solution: Be well diversified, says Rettick, and follow the "investment rule of 100." The rule of 100 says that you take the age to which you could potentially live (100) and subtract the age you are now. The percentage of your assets matching the age you are now should be invested in safe, no-risk, guaranteed accounts; the remainder should be invested in stocks. So, for example, if you're 60, then 60 percent of your investments should be no-risk and up to 40 percent should be in stocks. "Reducing losses is extremely important once you're over age 50," says Rettick. 4. Home equity is unreliable. "The three legs of your financial plan used to be a retirement plan such as a pension or a 401(k), Social Security, and personal savings," says Rettick. "For most people, their home represented a huge percent of their assets. We all saw what happened to those assets during the housing crisis, and even though housing values are going up again, 10 percent of homeowners are still underwater on their mortgages." The solution: Rettick recommends paying off your mortgage as soon as possible so that you own a safe and secure asset and are not in danger of losing your home. He also suggests that you don't rely on your home for cash flow the way some people did before the housing bubble burst. "Depend more on your savings and investments than on your home," he says. 5. People are living longer. "The majority of people feel they aren't ready for retirement and expect to be worse off in retirement," says Rettick. "The reality is that you need to be prepared to live for 20 or 30 years in retirement." The solution: Rettick recommends getting appropriate investment advice to avoid the erosion of your savings due to inflation, to avoid losses, and to prepare for long-term care costs. Common sense still applies "People can handle the new reality if they save more and spend less," Rettick says. "Everyone needs to eliminate debt as soon as possible and put the burden of the future in their own hands, ideally saving 10 to 15 percent of their income for retirement."

Thursday, October 10, 2013

Tesla: The Bulls State Their Case

On Oct. 8, I wrote about why value investors are bearish on Tesla (TSLA). Today, it’s time for the bulls to make their case.

Bloomberg

I fall back on a report released yesterday by Morgan Stanley, which directly addressed the haters. Analyst Adam Jonas and team write:

Most investors we speak with believe TSLA shares are significantly overvalued. We fall back to the dialogue we honed during the Porsche-VW saga of 2008. We ask 'What's your edge'? We typically get 3 categories of responses: (1) 'My edge is valuation'; (2) 'My edge is I'm new to the story and have a patient capital base that can afford to get it wrong for a very long time; and (3) 'I have no edge, but believe this is a momentum stock that must execute perfectly to keep working and they probably don't.'

Perhaps predictably, Jonas argues that Tesla can’t be valued by traditional auto-metrics. He writes:

We argue Tesla cannot be valued on near-term multiple metrics like traditional auto companies given that we expect Tesla to multiply revenues by more than 10x from 2012 to 2016 by nearly 30x by 2020 and around 60x by 2027. We have thus chosen a 15-year time horizon for our DCF which captures the full maturation of the Model S, Model X (and top-hat derivatives) and also the ramp up of its mass market electric vehicle (the Gen 3). We have applied a 11% WACC with a range of 9% to 13%. The terminal value, calculated on a midpoint of 10x EV/EBITDA accounts for roughly 50% of the total DCF value across the range of methodologies we have applied to arrive at our $149 PT.

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While that is still lower than Tesla’s current price–it closed at $168.78 yesterday–it’s not too far off.

Jonas also addressed other recent hot topics including the number of cars sold reflected in the current price–300,000–the lack of competition from other automakers–its not in the best interest of legacy car makers to have a successful electric car–and even whether BMW is a threat–the short answer is no.

The only thing that would “trip up” the Tesla story would be if its third-generation car gets described as “‘spunky’ and ‘a spirited ride… but ultimately the 2017 BMW 3 Series is the better car,’” Jonas says.

Still, Tesla’s big gain has some investors taking profits. Fidelity Management & Research, which owned 15,739676 shares of Tesla at the end of June, pared its stake in Tesla to 11,676,160 shares, according to an SEC filing. It currently owns 9.6% of the company.

Tesla has gained 2.1% to $172.27 today, while General Motors (GM) has gained 1.7% to $34.75, Ford Motor (F) has risen 2.2% to $16.98 and Toyota Motor (TM) has advanced 2% to $130.69.

Wednesday, October 9, 2013

Insurance shopping? Put drug coverage atop list

Premiums and deductibles tend to get the most attention when it comes to health insurance. Drug coverage deserves far more than it gets. And that's true whether you're shopping for insurance on one of the new health care exchanges or dealing with open enrollment at your employer.

Many people may not visit their doctor too often. but prescription drugs are often what's keeping them alive. About 22% of American are taking three or more prescription drugs and 11% are taking five or more, according to a study by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

A provision in the new health law that should be of special interest to those taking many, or at least, pricey pills is a new limit on out-of-pocket costs — and it includes co-pays and other prescription drug costs. This limit, which takes effect Jan. 1, is about $6,000 for individuals and $12,000 for families. If you're on an expensive specialty drug for a serious or chronic condition, this could be especially good news, says Susan Gaca, chief nursing officer at Cigna Insurance, who notes these drugs could total as much at $100,000 a year for some patients.

The not- so-good news: This applies to all but what's known as "grandfathered plans," which were in place before the law took effect in 2010. (According to the Kaiser Family Foundation, about 36% of plans this year are grandfathered. If an insurer or employer makes significant changes to a plan's benefits or how much members pay through premiums, co-pays or deductibles, plans lose their grandfathered status. Not sure if yours is? Kaiser recommends calling your insurance company or your employer's human resources department.)

Many people with employer-provided plans may find their deductibles are much higher this year, which may make this change seem like small consolation, but it will come in handy for those who take multiple medications.

Whatever plan you buy insurance from should have what's known as an "accumulator" that tracks all of your out-of-pocket medical and! pharmacy costs, says Ellen Nelson, senior vice president of government relations at Catamaran, a pharmacy benefit manager that works with insurance companies and employers.This information would be reported to you.

"This is an attempt at least to keep people out of going bankrupt over medical expenses." Nelson says. "We're all waiting to see the impact."

Plans on the new state and federal exchanges are grouped by bronze, silver, gold and platinum depending on how much consumers have to pay out of pocket (with platinum being the least, at just 10%). Those considering silver plans on the new exchanges may find their drug costs are likely to be greater, and for some expensive drugs, they are more likely to hit the deductible, says Eric Johnson, a marketing professor at Columbia University who has been studying the affordability of the exchange plans.

"This is a especially difficult problem unless someone does the math because they are trading off deductible costs vs. out-of-pocket costs vs. premiums," Johnson says. "If someone starts to need a new expensive drug during a year, they may have made a bad choice."

Here are key steps in smart pharmacy benefit shopping:

1. Talk to your doctor about the medications you're on, whether they are truly needed and if there's a cheaper alternative that would work for you, Gaca recommends.

2. Review the drug formulary — the list of drugs it covers — when considering different insurance plans. Plans will try to steer you to the lowest cost alternative. At Cigna, for example, a prescription to the cholesterol-lowering drug Lipitor on one plan could cost a consumer $150 out of pocket, but the generic equivalent would be free. If there is no generic available, there is often a preferred brand and a non-preferred brand, which has a lower co-payment, Gaca says.

There are typically at least two drugs offered for each class of drugs, Nelson says, and which ones are offered depends on a benchmark plan established by the state. One! plan mig! ht have acid reflux drug Prilosec on its formulary, while another might have Nexium, she notes.

3. Make a list of the drugs you (and any family members) need to continue taking, the number of prescriptions you need a year and track what they — or their generic or lower cost alternative — would cost on the different plans you are considering.

4. Check if there's a mail-order option. If there's a drug you need, say, a 90-day supply, Nelson says you can probably get it by mail for two co-payments rather than three. Although every plan is different, she notes "maintenance medications" frequently do have a mail-order plan.

5. Can't afford the drugs you really need? Check with your plan's pharmacy benefits manager to get referrals to public or pharmaceutical company sources that may provide drugs for free.

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Or maybe you're one of the lucky ones and don't need any drugs now. Just wait. If you cut corners too much on your choice of plan and pharmacy benefits, you may be in for a financial surprise.

"If someone starts to need a new expensive drug during a year, they may have made a bad choice," Johnson says.

Tuesday, October 8, 2013

Eli Lilly Cancer Drug Suffers Setback

Share price isn't all that suffers when an experimental drug disappoints. A failed clinical trial can weigh on sales forecasts. Just look at Eli Lilly (LLY).

Today, the drug maker announced that its experiment cancer drug ramucirumab failed to meet its target in a large late-stage study testing it as a front-line treatment for breast cancer.

Lilly is testing ramucirumab on several types of tumors, including colon, liver and lung cancer. In a separate late-stage study released Thursday, ramucirumab improved the overall survival in patients with stomach cancer, a large global market.

Lilly plans to file for regulatory approval for gastric cancer, and approval could come in 2014. But the setback in breast cancer is forcing analysts to cut sales forecasts for the drug.

Leerink Swann analyst Seamus Fernandez has shaved $300 million from peak sales projections for ramucirumab to $1.3 billion. And Mark Schoenebaum, an analyst at ISI, says the breast cancer setback could cost Lilly $500 million to $600 million in sales and have a 3% to 8% impact on earnings per share.

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Schoenebaum writes:

The longer term stock impact could be greater if the Street begins to lose confidence more generally in LLY’s pipeline – the Street currently carries $9B in probability adjusted sales for the pipeline at the end of the decade, which is 40% of sales. This is significant.

Monday, October 7, 2013

Wednesday's Top News Headlines

Here are today's top news headlines from Fool.com. Check back throughout the day as this list is updated, and follow us on Twitter at TMFBreaking.

Tesla Defends Selling Vehicles Directly to Customers

Texas Gives Tesla the Boot

Musk Talks Revenue and Shareholder Value at Tesla Meeting

VIDEO: Tesla's Smart New Product Plans

United Airlines Now Selling "Subscriptions" for Better Seats, Free Baggage

United Tech Wins Boeing C-17 Contract

Latvia Gets Go-Ahead to Become 18th Euro Member

NASA Picks L-3 Communications to Maintain Its Air Fleet

ECB Searches for Ways to Boost Sagging Eurozone

SEC Considers Tougher Rules for Money Funds

General Mills Joins Government Effort to Reduce Food Waste

A-B InBev Completes Modelo Acquisition

Xerox Acquiring E-Learning Company LearnSomething

Pandora Launches Televised Music Service

The Medicines Company May Buy Company Behind Surgical Bleeding Inhibitor

How the Fed Compiles the Beige Book, at a Glance

ADP Expands Latin America Exposure With Acquisition

U.S. Adds 135,000 Jobs for May

Productivity Rises, Costs Fall for Q1 2013

Factory Inventories Hit Record Highs

Crude Oil Inventories Drop From Record Highs


Saturday, October 5, 2013

Time to Get Off the Elite Pharmaceuticals Train (ELTP)

Exactly one month ago today I penned some bullish thoughts on Elite Pharmaceuticals Inc. (OTCBB:ELTP). If you're familiar with the company - or a regular reader of this site - then you may know why that sounds a little "off." See, at the time, ELTP shares were falling rather quickly, giving up all the gains they had made just a few days before. Almost needless to say, my premise was not a well received one. Let's just say I received some "colorful disagreements" by being optimistic about the biopharma company.

Well, what else can I say now, other than it's fun to be right, and satisfying to be vindicated. ELTP shares have rallied 98% since my last look at the stock back on August 19th.

I'm not reprising that write-up to brag, however. I can and do misfire as much as anybody else. The reason I'm bringing Elite Pharmaceuticals up again today is to suggest now's the time to lock in your gain and walk away, if you stepped into a position on my advice last month. [Never let it be said I don't follow up on my picks.]

That's going to be about as tough to swallow for some traders as my original bullish call on ELTP was back in mid-August. Shares seem to be soaring now, and bailing out here feels like you're getting off the bullish train in the middle of the journey. I get that. I'm just saying, after too many years in this business and too many gray hairs by being in this industry, I've seen stocks get up-ended - with little to no warning - right in the middle of what seemed like an unstoppable rally. Indeed, a lot of folks were chastising me for going long on a stock that "had no shot at any upside" a month ago, yet that very stock has nearly doubled in the meantime. Nothing lasts forever, and the time to expect it is when you least expect it. 

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Now, I'm not saying Elite Pharmaceuticals will n ever rise again. In fact, I specifically said the stock was entering a long-term rally phase when I explored it back in August. I'm just saying the potential pullback from here is a little more than the average investor may want to ride out. Once we bleed off some of this overbought pressure, then we can start wading back in again. That could be somewhere around the $0.10 area, where ELTP had to regroup late last week and early this week, and where the 20-day and/or the 50-day moving average lines will be in a couple of days when they could be tested.

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Friday, October 4, 2013

Shutdown hits preschoolers, parents

Head Start at risk in shutdown   Head Start at risk in shutdown NEW YORK (CNNMoney) The government shutdown could cost Melanie Rhodes her job.

After nearly a year of unemployment, Rhodes finally landed a job as a school bus driver in Bridgeport, Conn. But now that the shutdown has closed her child's preschool, she may have to give that job up.

"It took me a long time to find a job," said Rhodes, who was also homeless for a time before having her son almost four years ago. "But if the government shutdown continues, I'm going to have to stay home again."

Rhodes' son Malachi is one of nearly a million children nationwide who attend Head Start -- the federally funded preschool program designed to give children from poor families early access to education, nutrition and health care.

As of Thursday, over 5,000 kids under the age of five in 11 states have been shut out of their preschools -- victims of the political impasse that left the schools unfunded. All told, there are nearly 19,000 students in schools set to receive funding in October, according to Sally Aman, a spokeswoman for the National Head Start Association.

This is bad for the kids, and also for the parents who must now scramble to find childcare, or risk losing their jobs.

"What these parents aren't able to do is go to work, go to school," said Aman. "It's really a devastating ripple effect."

That includes parents like Ashely Rodriguez.

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A single mother of three, Rodriguez recently left a domestic violence shelter and is currently living in transitional housing for single mothers.

She enrolled in a three-year educational training program to get a new start in life, and said Head Start gives her the freedom to attend school during the day.

But the program her children attend in Brooksville, Florida will run out money Friday.

"I'm on cash assistance, I'm going to have to put them in daycare and that's going to be all my cash assistance gone," she told CNN, on the verge of tears. "I only get that once a month."

Her children receive three meals a day during the week and a weekend backpack filled with food from Head Start. She said It will be difficult ! for her family once the program closes.

"We're the ones that are going to suffer, our children are going to be the ones that are going to be without food, without education," she said.

Rhodes, whose son is autistic, had strong words for Washington.

"Think about us, think about the single parents that need daycare -- they could lose their jobs," she said. "We really need them to get it together."

CNN's Zain Asher, John Couwels, Jesse Solomon and John Zarrella contributed to this report To top of page